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Bayesian methods

  Bayesian methods The methods of statistical  inference  previously described are often referred to as  classical methods. Bayesian methods (so called after the English mathematician  Thomas Bayes ) provide  alternatives  that allow one to combine prior information about a population  parameter  with information contained in a sample to guide the statistical inference process. A  prior probability distribution for a parameter of interest is specified first. Sample information is then obtained and combined through an application of  Bayes’s theorem  to provide a  posterior probability distribution for the parameter. The posterior distribution provides the basis for statistical  inferences  concerning the parameter. A key, and somewhat controversial, feature of Bayesian methods is the notion of a probability distribution for a population parameter. According to classical statistics, parameters are constants and cannot be represented as random variables. Bayesian proponents argue that, i